DETROIT — Auto executives and specialists are assured that the trade’s good occasions will proceed this 12 months regardless of a 1.eight p.c decline in U.S. new light-vehicle gross sales in 2017 that ended a seven-year development streak.
Contributing to the calmness are sound financial tendencies and a trifecta of optimistic indicators: reasonable stock ranges, common transactionprices within the mid-$30,000s and client preferences that time to extra worthwhile gross sales.
Most automakers and trade specialists predict gross sales this 12 months will decline from 17.25 million automobiles in 2017 — the fourth-highest gross sales ever after a report 17.55 million in 2016 — to a nonetheless sturdy vary of 16.7 million to 16.9 million.
It is “nonetheless a wholesome trade demand stage, supported by optimistic financial circumstances and, particular to the auto trade, nonetheless welcoming credit score circumstances and excessive incentive ranges,” stated Christopher Hopson, supervisor of North America light-vehicle forecasting for IHS Markit, which forecasts gross sales of 16.9 million in 2018.
Even so, some trade watchers say the market stays weak to a steeper downturn.
“We do have some issues that headwinds are rising,” stated Charlie Chesbrough, senior trade insights director for Cox Automotive. “It is a combined blessing after we look into 2018.”
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